In a surprising turn of events for one of Bollywood’s most bankable action franchises, Tiger Shroff’s latest high-octane offering, “Baaghi 4,” has opened to a surprisingly low number at the box office. Industry estimates peg the first-day collection at a modest ₹12 crore, a figure that has left trade analysts and fans alike scratching their heads. This start is notably lower than the opening of its predecessor, “Baaghi 3,” signaling a potential hurdle for the film to overcome.
A Look at the Numbers: Baaghi 4 vs. Baaghi 3
The “Baaghi” series, built on Tiger Shroff‘s signature martial arts prowess and larger-than-life stunts, has traditionally enjoyed strong opening days. The third installment, released just before the nationwide pandemic lockdown in 2020, managed to rake in an impressive ₹17.5 crore on its first day despite the looming crisis.
Why Did Baaghi 4 Open to Lower Numbers?
Several factors seem to have contributed to this unexpectedly soft opening. While a definitive cause is hard to pinpoint, trade circles and audience feedback point to a few key issues.
Franchise Fatigue and a Shift in Audience Taste
The primary keyword here might be franchise fatigue. This is the fourth film in a series that has largely followed a similar template of action and revenge. With the audience’s palate evolving post-pandemic, there is a growing appetite for fresh stories and unique concepts over familiar formulas. The buzz around the film lacked the usual frenzy, suggesting that the franchise’s tried-and-tested formula may have lost some of its charm.
The Impact of Mixed Early Reviews and Word-of-Mouth
The film’s word-of-mouth has been tepid. Early reviews from major publications and reactions on social media have been mixed, with criticism largely aimed at its predictable storyline and lack of novelty. In today’s cinema landscape, where word-of-mouth spreads like wildfire on social media platforms and WhatsApp groups, a weak initial response can severely dampen first-day walk-in audiences.
A Crowded Release Window and Competition
“Baaghi 4” did not have the solo release advantage that some of its predecessors enjoyed. It faced indirect competition from lingering Hollywood hits and other regional language films that are performing consistently well across the country. This fragmentation of the audience base can impact the overall footfall for any single film.
What Does This Mean for Baaghi 4’s Overall Run?
A ₹12 crore opening is by no means a disaster, but it places immense pressure on the film to show strong growth over the crucial weekend. The box office collection trajectory will now entirely depend on how the audience receives it from today onward. The film needs to see a significant jump on Saturday and Sunday to build a sustainable total. If the collections remain flat or drop, it could be an uphill battle for the production to recover its costs, let alone turn a profit.
Trade analyst Taran Adarsh noted in his commentary that the film needed a stronger start to ensure a healthy run, and its future now hinges on positive word-of-mouth publicity.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q1: What were the official first-day box office collections for Baaghi 4?
A: As per early estimates from leading trade portals, “Baaghi 4” collected approximately ₹12 crore nett in India on its first day.
Q2: How does Baaghi 4’s opening compare to Baaghi 3?
A: “Baaghi 4” opened lower than “Baaghi 3.” The third film in the franchise collected ₹17.5 crore on its Day 1 in March 2020.
Q3: Can Baaghi 4 recover from a low start?
A: It is possible, but challenging. Recovery depends heavily on a strong positive word-of-mouth wave leading to substantial growth over Saturday and Sunday. The film needs to show exceptional holding power on Monday to indicate long-term viability.
Q4: What is the budget of Baaghi 4?
A: While an official figure hasn’t been disclosed, industry estimates suggest a production and marketing budget in the range of ₹90-110 crore, making its opening day figure a point of concern.
Conclusion: A Wake-Up Call for Filmmakers
The performance of “Baaghi 4” is a clear indicator that a popular franchise and a reliable star are no longer a guaranteed recipe for box office success. The modern Indian moviegoer is seeking substance, novelty, and strong storytelling. While Tiger Shroff’s action sequences remain a visual spectacle, they need to be packaged within a compelling narrative to draw audiences back to theaters. The coming days will be a true test of the film’s merit. Will you be watching it this weekend? Let us know what you look for in a masala action film these days.